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Red50
448128.8
210222.3
38635.7
Blue36
441516.9
66586.0
325513.9
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions543702060805036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.80.1
25.025.1
Auto13.6
Teleop12.2
End2.9
red by 11.9
4415
#17
16.90.0
17.017.0
Auto4.6
Teleop11.5
End0.8
Second
22.30.1
15.515.6
Auto6.8
Teleop13.9
End1.6
red by 8.4
3255
#32
13.90.0
12.912.9
Auto1.5
Teleop11.9
End0.4
Third
3863
#47
5.70.1
6.56.6
Auto2.7
Teleop2.1
End0.9
blue by 0.3
6658
#30
6.00.0
5.95.9
Auto0.5
Teleop3.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed