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Red31
416.5
80063.9
67643.1
Blue43
312823.4
95207.5
81199.6
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184201030506070803143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4
#24
16.50.2
13.613.8
Auto6.0
Teleop9.5
End0.9
blue by 7.0
3128
#23
23.40.3
16.516.2
Auto8.9
Teleop13.1
End1.5
Second
8006
#39
3.90.2
3.94.1
Auto2.1
Teleop1.7
End0.2
blue by 5.7
8119
#35
9.60.2
9.99.7
Auto2.5
Teleop6.1
End1.0
Third
6764
#50
3.10.2
1.51.7
Auto2.6
Teleop-0.0
End0.5
blue by 4.3
9520
#19
7.50.2
8.98.7
Auto2.9
Teleop4.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned