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Red74
77777.6
95385.4
940822.8
Blue29
945213.7
25438.9
37597.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33330204060801007429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9408
#16
22.82.0
20.722.7
Auto8.8
Teleop11.2
End2.8
red by 9.2
9452
#41
13.70.1
11.011.0
Auto3.6
Teleop9.4
End0.7
Second
7777
#27
7.62.0
7.39.3
Auto2.0
Teleop4.8
End0.7
blue by 1.3
2543
#26
8.90.1
10.510.4
Auto0.8
Teleop7.4
End0.7
Third
9538
#29
5.42.0
2.04.0
Auto3.0
Teleop2.2
End0.2
blue by 2.4
3759
#48
7.90.1
8.18.1
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed