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Red60
248524.0
49816.8
114814.2
Blue69
448128.8
541924.6
420119.5
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49730204060801006069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.00.8
21.522.3
Auto12.6
Teleop9.2
End2.2
blue by 4.7
28.80.1
25.125.2
Auto13.6
Teleop12.2
End2.9
Second
498
#28
16.80.8
13.514.3
Auto4.5
Teleop10.9
End1.4
blue by 7.7
5419
#12
24.60.1
21.021.1
Auto7.9
Teleop12.7
End3.9
Third
1148
#25
14.20.8
12.613.4
Auto1.7
Teleop11.8
End0.7
blue by 5.3
19.50.1
17.117.2
Auto7.0
Teleop10.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsEarned52%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsEarned