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Red70
69618.2
312823.4
119718.3
Blue7
38635.7
34739.4
28398.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions582204080100707

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3128
#23
23.42.2
16.218.5
Auto8.9
Teleop13.1
End1.5
red by 14.0
3473
#34
9.41.8
7.75.9
Auto3.3
Teleop4.9
End1.2
Second
18.32.2
17.419.6
Auto6.8
Teleop8.8
End2.7
red by 9.4
2839
#20
8.91.8
9.98.2
Auto2.7
Teleop4.1
End2.1
Third
696
#31
18.22.2
14.917.1
Auto6.7
Teleop10.9
End0.7
red by 12.5
3863
#47
5.71.8
6.64.8
Auto2.7
Teleop2.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed