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Red40
51249.3
157213.4
441516.9
Blue69
271013.4
364724.9
416.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375302060801004069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4415
#17
16.90.4
16.516.9
Auto4.6
Teleop11.5
End0.8
blue by 8.0
24.92.2
20.923.0
Auto10.7
Teleop13.4
End0.8
Second
1572
#21
13.40.5
10.310.7
Auto3.8
Teleop8.2
End1.4
blue by 3.1
4
#24
16.52.2
13.816.0
Auto6.0
Teleop9.5
End0.9
Third
5124
#40
9.30.5
8.89.3
Auto3.7
Teleop5.4
End0.2
blue by 4.1
2710
#15
13.42.0
11.513.5
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed40%Ensemble oddsMissed