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Red31
265812.8
81199.6
80209.5
Blue39
11592.3
95385.4
519920.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372502060803139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2658
#22
12.80.1
12.912.8
Auto4.6
Teleop6.7
End1.5
blue by 7.7
5199
#10
20.51.5
19.120.5
Auto7.5
Teleop8.4
End4.6
Second
8119
#35
9.60.1
9.79.6
Auto2.5
Teleop6.1
End1.0
red by 4.2
9538
#29
5.41.5
4.05.4
Auto3.0
Teleop2.2
End0.2
Third
8020
#33
9.50.1
9.69.5
Auto3.8
Teleop4.7
End1.1
red by 7.2
1159
#49
2.31.5
0.92.3
Auto1.4
Teleop1.7
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed