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Red39
513710.8
49816.8
97322.3
Blue53
80063.9
37597.9
715719.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions582902040801003953

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#8
22.31.0
23.222.2
Auto4.9
Teleop16.1
End1.3
red by 3.1
7157
#13
19.30.2
17.717.5
Auto6.9
Teleop10.1
End2.3
Second
498
#28
16.81.0
14.313.3
Auto4.5
Teleop10.9
End1.4
red by 9.0
3759
#48
7.90.2
8.17.9
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End1.2
Third
5137
#11
10.81.0
11.710.7
Auto4.1
Teleop5.1
End1.5
red by 6.8
8006
#39
3.90.2
4.13.9
Auto2.1
Teleop1.7
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned