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Red26
416.5
351212.7
95207.5
Blue16
11653.3
77777.6
119718.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4437102030405060702616

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4
#24
16.51.2
16.014.8
Auto6.0
Teleop9.5
End0.9
blue by 1.8
18.31.7
19.617.9
Auto6.8
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Second
3512
#45
12.71.2
13.912.7
Auto6.8
Teleop4.3
End1.6
red by 5.2
7777
#27
7.61.7
9.37.6
Auto2.0
Teleop4.8
End0.7
Third
9520
#19
7.51.2
8.77.5
Auto2.9
Teleop4.2
End0.4
red by 4.1
1165
#38
3.31.7
5.13.3
Auto1.9
Teleop0.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed