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Red51
28398.9
325513.9
69618.2
Blue75
940822.8
248524.0
441424.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3683020601001205175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#31
18.20.7
17.117.8
Auto6.7
Teleop10.9
End0.7
blue by 6.5
24.70.1
24.324.4
Auto6.5
Teleop13.7
End4.5
Second
3255
#32
13.90.7
13.213.9
Auto1.5
Teleop11.9
End0.4
blue by 10.2
24.00.1
22.322.3
Auto12.6
Teleop9.2
End2.2
Third
2839
#20
8.90.7
8.28.9
Auto2.7
Teleop4.1
End2.1
blue by 14.0
9408
#16
22.80.1
22.722.8
Auto8.8
Teleop11.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsEarned53%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsEarned