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Red36
242912.2
945213.7
38635.7
Blue74
157213.4
210222.3
420119.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27520204060803674

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9452
#41
13.70.9
11.011.8
Auto3.6
Teleop9.4
End0.7
blue by 8.6
22.32.4
16.418.8
Auto6.8
Teleop13.9
End1.6
Second
2429
#18
12.20.9
11.412.2
Auto4.3
Teleop7.3
End0.7
blue by 7.3
19.52.4
17.219.6
Auto7.0
Teleop10.0
End2.4
Third
3863
#47
5.70.9
4.85.7
Auto2.7
Teleop2.1
End0.9
blue by 7.7
1572
#21
13.42.4
10.713.1
Auto3.8
Teleop8.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed50%Ensemble oddsMissed