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Red55
81199.6
97322.3
940822.8
Blue99
248524.0
715719.3
416.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions606240507080905599

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9408
#16
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto8.8
Teleop11.2
End2.8
blue by 1.2
24.01.0
22.723.6
Auto12.6
Teleop9.2
End2.2
Second
973
#8
22.30.0
22.322.3
Auto4.9
Teleop16.1
End1.3
red by 3.1
7157
#13
19.31.0
17.918.9
Auto6.9
Teleop10.1
End2.3
Third
8119
#35
9.60.0
9.69.6
Auto2.5
Teleop6.1
End1.0
blue by 6.8
4
#24
16.51.0
15.116.1
Auto6.0
Teleop9.5
End0.9