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Red102
157213.4
603632.2
441424.7
Blue106
945213.7
448128.8
364724.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7970204060100120140160102106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.20.5
32.132.6
Auto12.3
Teleop18.3
End1.6
red by 3.4
28.80.9
27.728.6
Auto13.6
Teleop12.2
End2.9
Second
24.70.5
24.625.1
Auto6.5
Teleop13.7
End4.5
blue by 0.2
24.90.9
23.824.7
Auto10.7
Teleop13.4
End0.8
Third
1572
#21
13.40.5
13.313.8
Auto3.8
Teleop8.2
End1.4
blue by 0.3
9452
#41
13.70.9
12.613.5
Auto3.6
Teleop9.4
End0.7