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Red88
889116.8
35943.0
157217.3
Blue58
153821.8
374923.6
547420.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5458405070808858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
43.02.5
33.135.5
Auto16.0
Teleop21.7
End5.4
red by 19.5
3749
#15
23.60.6
19.920.5
Auto7.2
Teleop15.5
End0.8
Second
1572
#13
17.33.0
13.016.0
Auto4.7
Teleop11.3
End1.4
blue by 4.4
1538
#28
21.80.9
18.419.3
Auto7.4
Teleop12.6
End1.7
Third
8891
#18
16.83.0
5.18.1
Auto4.7
Teleop9.6
End2.5
blue by 3.3
5474
#19
20.10.9
11.812.7
Auto9.9
Teleop7.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsEarned43%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned17%Ensemble oddsMissed