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Red60
473832.9
283915.5
97305.2
Blue36
502512.0
811917.9
49197.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions572802040801006036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.90.4
27.227.6
Auto11.5
Teleop18.4
End2.9
red by 15.0
8119
#12
17.90.6
11.011.6
Auto5.6
Teleop11.4
End0.9
Second
2839
#33
15.50.4
11.411.8
Auto3.4
Teleop9.6
End2.5
red by 3.5
5025
#35
12.00.5
8.28.7
Auto6.2
Teleop4.5
End1.3
Third
9730
#45
5.20.5
9.610.1
Auto3.9
Teleop0.4
End0.9
blue by 2.2
4919
#42
7.40.8
9.710.5
Auto3.3
Teleop2.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed