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Red33
74419.6
416013.6
888816.0
Blue95
908435.5
325526.9
427032.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32860204060801001203395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8888
#22
16.00.2
12.512.3
Auto5.5
Teleop9.2
End1.3
blue by 19.5
35.51.9
29.631.6
Auto12.0
Teleop17.9
End5.6
Second
4160
#36
13.60.2
13.513.2
Auto7.6
Teleop5.2
End0.8
blue by 18.9
32.51.7
27.829.6
Auto10.1
Teleop16.9
End5.5
Third
7441
#49
9.60.2
9.18.9
Auto2.5
Teleop5.1
End2.0
blue by 17.2
26.91.9
13.915.9
Auto6.8
Teleop18.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed57%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned