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Red60
88706.9
334117.7
49846.5
Blue17
961512.5
370412.1
957311.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32300102040506070806017

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3341
#14
17.71.0
9.610.6
Auto7.1
Teleop9.2
End1.4
red by 5.2
9615
#41
12.54.5
12.58.0
Auto6.3
Teleop6.2
End0.1
Second
8870
#32
6.91.0
8.69.6
Auto4.3
Teleop2.2
End0.4
blue by 5.2
3704
#51
12.11.1
9.07.8
Auto4.5
Teleop7.5
End0.1
Third
4984
#48
6.51.0
10.611.7
Auto2.8
Teleop3.2
End0.6
blue by 5.3
9573
#34
11.83.8
11.88.0
Auto4.1
Teleop6.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed