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Red49
374923.6
688511.6
88706.9
Blue26
55147.1
651513.1
49197.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413301001502004926

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3749
#15
23.60.8
20.521.3
Auto7.2
Teleop15.5
End0.8
red by 10.5
6515
#24
13.10.5
10.49.8
Auto5.6
Teleop6.3
End1.1
Second
6885
#37
11.60.8
8.49.3
Auto3.4
Teleop7.2
End1.0
red by 4.2
4919
#42
7.40.5
10.59.9
Auto3.3
Teleop2.3
End1.7
Third
8870
#32
6.91.4
7.48.8
Auto4.3
Teleop2.2
End0.4
blue by 0.2
5514
#31
7.10.5
10.19.6
Auto4.8
Teleop1.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed