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Red63
283915.5
81212.3
699530.8
Blue81
908435.5
97323.4
388015.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4679020601001201406381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6995
#10
30.81.2
25.526.7
Auto9.3
Teleop19.0
End2.5
blue by 4.6
35.50.9
30.131.0
Auto12.0
Teleop17.9
End5.6
Second
2839
#33
15.51.3
11.813.1
Auto3.4
Teleop9.6
End2.5
blue by 7.8
973
#7
23.41.0
23.324.4
Auto4.9
Teleop17.2
End1.2
Third
812
#30
12.32.0
7.99.9
Auto5.2
Teleop4.0
End3.0
blue by 3.2
3880
#20
15.50.9
13.714.6
Auto5.2
Teleop8.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned74%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsEarned