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Red24
74419.6
607212.3
334117.7
Blue64
312832.4
248531.0
903010.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2578040601001201402464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3341
#14
17.70.5
13.012.4
Auto7.1
Teleop9.2
End1.4
blue by 14.7
3128
#16
32.40.0
29.129.1
Auto11.8
Teleop18.6
End2.0
Second
6072
#40
12.30.5
7.36.8
Auto5.6
Teleop6.0
End0.7
blue by 18.7
31.00.0
25.025.0
Auto11.0
Teleop17.4
End2.6
Third
7441
#49
9.60.5
8.68.1
Auto2.5
Teleop5.1
End2.0
blue by 0.6
9030
#39
10.30.0
9.99.9
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed67%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed