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Red73
334117.7
651513.1
427032.5
Blue40
81212.3
97305.2
513718.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions583402040801007340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.51.6
27.328.8
Auto10.1
Teleop16.9
End5.5
red by 14.5
5137
#25
18.00.4
13.013.4
Auto7.7
Teleop8.5
End1.8
Second
3341
#14
17.72.6
12.415.1
Auto7.1
Teleop9.2
End1.4
red by 5.4
812
#30
12.30.7
9.910.6
Auto5.2
Teleop4.0
End3.0
Third
6515
#24
13.12.6
9.812.4
Auto5.6
Teleop6.3
End1.1
red by 7.9
9730
#45
5.20.7
11.111.7
Auto3.9
Teleop0.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
37%Ensemble oddsEarned35%Ensemble oddsMissed