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Red77
473832.9
265819.7
197211.5
Blue55
312832.4
364732.1
28279.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60742040801007755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.90.4
30.530.9
Auto11.5
Teleop18.4
End2.9
red by 0.5
3128
#16
32.41.0
30.929.9
Auto11.8
Teleop18.6
End2.0
Second
19.70.4
16.817.2
Auto7.0
Teleop9.8
End2.9
blue by 12.4
32.11.0
26.525.5
Auto13.1
Teleop17.7
End1.2
Third
1972
#27
11.50.7
8.79.4
Auto7.9
Teleop1.9
End1.7
red by 2.4
2827
#46
9.11.7
7.65.9
Auto5.7
Teleop3.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsMissed77%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed