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Red31
374923.6
903010.3
961512.5
Blue39
888816.0
388015.5
283915.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454630405060703139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3749
#15
23.60.7
21.320.6
Auto7.2
Teleop15.5
End0.8
red by 7.6
8888
#22
16.00.2
13.012.8
Auto5.5
Teleop9.2
End1.3
Second
9615
#41
12.51.2
10.89.6
Auto6.3
Teleop6.2
End0.1
blue by 3.0
2839
#33
15.50.1
13.113.0
Auto3.4
Teleop9.6
End2.5
Third
9030
#39
10.31.2
9.98.7
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End1.9
blue by 5.3
3880
#20
15.50.1
14.614.5
Auto5.2
Teleop8.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsMissed39%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed