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Red62
325526.9
607212.3
811917.9
Blue56
97323.4
889116.8
957311.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394302060806256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.91.8
17.018.8
Auto6.8
Teleop18.7
End1.5
red by 3.5
973
#7
23.41.2
24.425.5
Auto4.9
Teleop17.2
End1.2
Second
8119
#12
17.91.8
11.913.6
Auto5.6
Teleop11.4
End0.9
red by 1.1
8891
#18
16.81.2
9.210.4
Auto4.7
Teleop9.6
End2.5
Third
6072
#40
12.32.9
6.89.7
Auto5.6
Teleop6.0
End0.7
red by 0.4
9573
#34
11.81.9
5.27.1
Auto4.1
Teleop6.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsEarned53%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed