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Red90
35943.0
811917.9
312832.4
Blue57
945220.6
888816.0
651513.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions843102040601001209057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
43.01.1
32.033.1
Auto16.0
Teleop21.7
End5.4
red by 22.4
9452
#21
20.61.0
13.714.6
Auto4.8
Teleop14.8
End1.1
Second
3128
#16
32.41.0
28.329.3
Auto11.8
Teleop18.6
End2.0
red by 16.4
8888
#22
16.01.2
11.312.5
Auto5.5
Teleop9.2
End1.3
Third
8119
#12
17.91.3
9.611.0
Auto5.6
Teleop11.4
End0.9
red by 4.9
6515
#24
13.11.2
9.110.4
Auto5.6
Teleop6.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned