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Red51
416013.6
12664.8
254316.6
Blue46
97305.2
374923.6
441910.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31490204060801005146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2543
#26
16.61.9
8.910.8
Auto5.4
Teleop9.8
End1.4
blue by 7.0
3749
#15
23.60.3
19.619.9
Auto7.2
Teleop15.5
End0.8
Second
4160
#36
13.62.3
11.113.5
Auto7.6
Teleop5.2
End0.8
red by 3.0
4419
#43
10.60.4
13.513.9
Auto1.5
Teleop8.1
End1.1
Third
1266
#44
4.82.3
10.012.4
Auto1.6
Teleop2.5
End0.7
blue by 0.4
9730
#45
5.24.4
5.29.6
Auto3.9
Teleop0.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsEarned39%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed