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Red68
547420.1
298410.4
248531.0
Blue66
210229.4
49197.4
370412.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions564602040801006866

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.01.2
25.026.2
Auto11.0
Teleop17.4
End2.6
red by 1.6
2102
#11
29.40.5
25.025.5
Auto10.8
Teleop16.6
End2.0
Second
5474
#19
20.12.1
13.415.5
Auto9.9
Teleop7.8
End2.4
red by 8.0
3704
#51
12.10.9
7.98.8
Auto4.5
Teleop7.5
End0.1
Third
2984
#47
10.42.1
11.213.2
Auto2.1
Teleop6.8
End1.5
red by 3.0
4919
#42
7.40.9
9.910.8
Auto3.3
Teleop2.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed