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Red1
197211.5
441910.6
39659.9
Blue52
334117.7
55147.1
473832.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions226304080100120152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1972
#27
11.52.7
6.84.2
Auto7.9
Teleop1.9
End1.7
blue by 21.4
32.90.0
28.128.1
Auto11.5
Teleop18.4
End2.9
Second
4419
#43
10.62.7
9.06.3
Auto1.5
Teleop8.1
End1.1
blue by 7.1
3341
#14
17.70.0
15.115.0
Auto7.1
Teleop9.2
End1.4
Third
3965
#29
9.92.7
9.36.6
Auto4.7
Teleop4.7
End0.5
red by 2.9
5514
#31
7.10.0
8.98.9
Auto4.8
Teleop1.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed48%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed