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Red83
388015.5
364732.1
157217.3
Blue48
97305.2
162223.3
651513.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions664520801001208348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.10.1
25.025.1
Auto13.1
Teleop17.7
End1.2
red by 8.8
1622
#17
23.30.3
18.719.1
Auto8.1
Teleop13.3
End1.9
Second
1572
#13
17.30.1
17.317.3
Auto4.7
Teleop11.3
End1.4
red by 4.3
6515
#24
13.10.6
12.413.0
Auto5.6
Teleop6.3
End1.1
Third
3880
#20
15.50.1
14.514.6
Auto5.2
Teleop8.5
End1.9
red by 10.3
9730
#45
5.20.6
11.712.3
Auto3.9
Teleop0.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsEarned44%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned17%Ensemble oddsMissed