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Red35
58057.4
957311.8
153821.8
Blue52
427032.5
961512.5
66959.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385402060801001203552

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#28
21.80.1
19.919.8
Auto7.4
Teleop12.6
End1.7
blue by 10.8
32.50.4
28.829.2
Auto10.1
Teleop16.9
End5.5
Second
9573
#34
11.80.1
7.16.9
Auto4.1
Teleop6.5
End1.3
blue by 0.6
9615
#41
12.50.6
9.610.1
Auto6.3
Teleop6.2
End0.1
Third
5805
#50
7.40.1
9.19.0
Auto3.5
Teleop3.2
End0.8
blue by 2.2
6695
#38
9.60.6
8.38.9
Auto6.9
Teleop2.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed