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Red9
49846.5
888816.0
298410.4
Blue77
12664.8
889116.8
210229.4
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37520206080100977

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8888
#22
16.02.9
12.89.9
Auto5.5
Teleop9.2
End1.3
blue by 13.4
2102
#11
29.41.1
25.526.7
Auto10.8
Teleop16.6
End2.0
Second
2984
#47
10.42.9
13.210.3
Auto2.1
Teleop6.8
End1.5
blue by 6.4
8891
#18
16.81.1
10.411.5
Auto4.7
Teleop9.6
End2.5
Third
4984
#48
6.52.9
9.46.5
Auto2.8
Teleop3.2
End0.6
red by 1.7
1266
#44
4.81.9
9.111.0
Auto1.6
Teleop2.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed46%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed