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Red34
74419.6
903010.3
547420.1
Blue47
88706.9
699530.8
811917.9
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325802040801001203447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5474
#19
20.10.2
15.515.7
Auto9.9
Teleop7.8
End2.4
blue by 10.8
6995
#10
30.80.2
27.427.3
Auto9.3
Teleop19.0
End2.5
Second
9030
#39
10.30.2
8.78.9
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End1.9
blue by 7.7
8119
#12
17.90.2
13.613.5
Auto5.6
Teleop11.4
End0.9
Third
7441
#49
9.60.2
8.18.3
Auto2.5
Teleop5.1
End2.0
red by 2.8
8870
#32
6.90.3
8.38.0
Auto4.3
Teleop2.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed