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Red61
370412.1
248531.0
388216.8
Blue70
374923.6
265819.7
97323.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53720204060801001201406170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.00.0
26.226.2
Auto11.0
Teleop17.4
End2.6
red by 7.4
3749
#15
23.60.5
20.620.1
Auto7.2
Teleop15.5
End0.8
Second
3882
#23
16.80.0
15.515.6
Auto4.2
Teleop11.1
End1.5
blue by 6.5
973
#7
23.40.5
25.525.0
Auto4.9
Teleop17.2
End1.2
Third
3704
#51
12.10.0
8.88.9
Auto4.5
Teleop7.5
End0.1
blue by 7.6
19.70.5
16.616.1
Auto7.0
Teleop9.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned82%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsEarned21%Ensemble oddsEarned