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Red55
81212.3
364732.1
12664.8
Blue65
49197.4
153821.8
35943.0
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions508202040601001205565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.10.3
25.125.4
Auto13.1
Teleop17.7
End1.2
blue by 10.9
359
#1
43.00.4
38.237.9
Auto16.0
Teleop21.7
End5.4
Second
812
#30
12.30.5
12.613.1
Auto5.2
Teleop4.0
End3.0
blue by 9.4
1538
#28
21.80.6
19.819.2
Auto7.4
Teleop12.6
End1.7
Third
1266
#44
4.80.5
11.011.5
Auto1.6
Teleop2.5
End0.7
blue by 2.5
4919
#42
7.40.6
12.411.8
Auto3.3
Teleop2.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsEarned58%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned