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Red62
254316.6
889116.8
388015.5
Blue47
88706.9
513718.0
197211.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49260204060801006247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8891
#18
16.80.5
11.512.1
Auto4.7
Teleop9.6
End2.5
blue by 1.2
5137
#25
18.01.4
14.215.6
Auto7.7
Teleop8.5
End1.8
Second
2543
#26
16.60.5
15.716.3
Auto5.4
Teleop9.8
End1.4
red by 5.1
1972
#27
11.52.3
4.26.5
Auto7.9
Teleop1.9
End1.7
Third
3880
#20
15.50.5
14.615.1
Auto5.2
Teleop8.5
End1.9
red by 8.6
8870
#32
6.92.3
8.010.3
Auto4.3
Teleop2.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed