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Red73
699530.8
427032.5
370412.1
Blue86
248531.0
473832.9
325526.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions708440601001207386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.50.5
29.229.7
Auto10.1
Teleop16.9
End5.5
blue by 0.4
32.90.8
28.128.9
Auto11.5
Teleop18.4
End2.9
Second
6995
#10
30.80.5
27.327.8
Auto9.3
Teleop19.0
End2.5
blue by 0.2
31.00.8
26.227.0
Auto11.0
Teleop17.4
End2.6
Third
3704
#51
12.10.9
8.99.7
Auto4.5
Teleop7.5
End0.1
blue by 14.8
26.90.8
20.020.8
Auto6.8
Teleop18.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
42%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsEarned