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Red26
97323.4
97305.2
49197.4
Blue36
39659.9
961512.5
74419.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5624040801002636

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#7
23.42.7
24.221.5
Auto4.9
Teleop17.2
End1.2
red by 10.9
9615
#41
12.50.7
10.711.5
Auto6.3
Teleop6.2
End0.1
Second
4919
#42
7.44.5
11.87.2
Auto3.3
Teleop2.3
End1.7
blue by 2.6
3965
#29
9.90.7
7.07.7
Auto4.7
Teleop4.7
End0.5
Third
9730
#45
5.24.5
10.96.4
Auto3.9
Teleop0.4
End0.9
blue by 4.4
7441
#49
9.60.7
7.68.3
Auto2.5
Teleop5.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed