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Red66
811917.9
28279.1
334117.7
Blue40
298410.4
254316.6
688511.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4041303545505560656640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8119
#12
17.90.5
14.114.7
Auto5.6
Teleop11.4
End0.9
red by 1.3
2543
#26
16.60.4
16.415.9
Auto5.4
Teleop9.8
End1.4
Second
3341
#14
17.70.8
16.217.0
Auto7.1
Teleop9.2
End1.4
red by 6.1
6885
#37
11.60.4
11.010.6
Auto3.4
Teleop7.2
End1.0
Third
2827
#46
9.10.9
5.96.8
Auto5.7
Teleop3.0
End0.4
blue by 1.3
2984
#47
10.40.7
9.38.6
Auto2.1
Teleop6.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed