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Red20
283915.5
12664.8
88706.9
Blue76
265819.7
945220.6
248531.0
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions287702040601001201402076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2839
#33
15.50.8
14.013.2
Auto3.4
Teleop9.6
End2.5
blue by 15.5
31.00.8
28.829.6
Auto11.0
Teleop17.4
End2.6
Second
8870
#32
6.91.2
8.57.3
Auto4.3
Teleop2.2
End0.4
blue by 13.7
9452
#21
20.60.8
18.719.5
Auto4.8
Teleop14.8
End1.1
Third
1266
#44
4.81.3
9.17.8
Auto1.6
Teleop2.5
End0.7
blue by 14.8
19.70.8
16.817.6
Auto7.0
Teleop9.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed65%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed51%Ensemble oddsMissed