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Red46
49197.4
388216.8
607212.3
Blue62
888816.0
197211.5
427032.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3760020801001204662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3882
#23
16.80.5
17.217.7
Auto4.2
Teleop11.1
End1.5
blue by 15.7
32.50.7
28.629.4
Auto10.1
Teleop16.9
End5.5
Second
6072
#40
12.30.5
12.112.6
Auto5.6
Teleop6.0
End0.7
blue by 3.7
8888
#22
16.01.1
13.314.4
Auto5.5
Teleop9.2
End1.3
Third
4919
#42
7.40.5
7.27.7
Auto3.3
Teleop2.3
End1.7
blue by 4.2
1972
#27
11.51.1
9.410.5
Auto7.9
Teleop1.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsMissed