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Red76
811917.9
888816.0
248531.0
Blue43
162223.3
55147.1
81212.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6947204060801001201407643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.01.1
29.630.6
Auto11.0
Teleop17.4
End2.6
red by 7.7
1622
#17
23.30.8
23.322.5
Auto8.1
Teleop13.3
End1.9
Second
8119
#12
17.91.1
16.117.1
Auto5.6
Teleop11.4
End0.9
red by 5.6
812
#30
12.31.2
13.512.3
Auto5.2
Teleop4.0
End3.0
Third
8888
#22
16.01.5
14.416.0
Auto5.5
Teleop9.2
End1.3
red by 8.9
5514
#31
7.11.2
8.27.1
Auto4.8
Teleop1.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
65%Melody oddsEarned36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed