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Red51
651513.1
97323.4
416013.6
Blue39
254316.6
58057.4
49846.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions562902040801005139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#7
23.40.2
21.421.6
Auto4.9
Teleop17.2
End1.2
red by 6.8
2543
#26
16.60.0
15.915.9
Auto5.4
Teleop9.8
End1.4
Second
4160
#36
13.60.4
13.313.6
Auto7.6
Teleop5.2
End0.8
red by 6.2
5805
#50
7.40.1
7.27.1
Auto3.5
Teleop3.2
End0.8
Third
6515
#24
13.10.4
12.713.1
Auto5.6
Teleop6.3
End1.1
red by 6.5
4984
#48
6.50.1
6.66.5
Auto2.8
Teleop3.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned