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Red26
49197.4
441910.6
298410.4
Blue96
957311.8
35943.0
699530.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions239604060801201401602696

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4419
#43
10.60.3
10.910.6
Auto1.5
Teleop8.1
End1.1
blue by 32.4
359
#1
43.01.2
39.540.7
Auto16.0
Teleop21.7
End5.4
Second
2984
#47
10.40.3
10.710.4
Auto2.1
Teleop6.8
End1.5
blue by 20.4
6995
#10
30.81.2
28.329.5
Auto9.3
Teleop19.0
End2.5
Third
4919
#42
7.40.3
7.77.4
Auto3.3
Teleop2.3
End1.7
blue by 4.5
9573
#34
11.81.9
10.011.8
Auto4.1
Teleop6.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed78%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsEarned