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Red56
607212.3
66959.6
473832.9
Blue39
12664.8
513718.0
374923.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615501001502002503003505639

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.90.2
31.831.6
Auto11.5
Teleop18.4
End2.9
red by 9.3
3749
#15
23.61.9
24.722.8
Auto7.2
Teleop15.5
End0.8
Second
6072
#40
12.30.3
12.612.3
Auto5.6
Teleop6.0
End0.7
blue by 5.8
5137
#25
18.01.9
18.216.3
Auto7.7
Teleop8.5
End1.8
Third
6695
#38
9.60.3
9.99.6
Auto6.9
Teleop2.5
End0.2
red by 4.8
1266
#44
4.83.0
7.84.8
Auto1.6
Teleop2.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsEarned65%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed