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Red65
961512.5
312832.4
58057.4
Blue104
502512.0
325526.9
364732.1
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54692040608010012065104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3128
#16
32.40.2
31.431.6
Auto11.8
Teleop18.6
End2.0
red by 0.2
32.12.2
27.629.8
Auto13.1
Teleop17.7
End1.2
Second
9615
#41
12.50.3
12.212.5
Auto6.3
Teleop6.2
End0.1
blue by 14.4
26.92.2
23.225.4
Auto6.8
Teleop18.7
End1.5
Third
5805
#50
7.40.3
7.17.4
Auto3.5
Teleop3.2
End0.8
blue by 4.6
5025
#35
12.02.2
9.812.0
Auto6.2
Teleop4.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsEarned70%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned