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Red101
334117.7
210229.4
325526.9
Blue73
254316.6
265819.7
312832.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7875406010012014010173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2102
#11
29.40.7
28.329.0
Auto10.8
Teleop16.6
End2.0
blue by 3.0
3128
#16
32.40.1
32.332.4
Auto11.8
Teleop18.6
End2.0
Second
26.90.7
25.826.5
Auto6.8
Teleop18.7
End1.5
red by 7.2
19.70.1
19.619.7
Auto7.0
Teleop9.8
End2.9
Third
3341
#14
17.70.9
16.317.2
Auto7.1
Teleop9.2
End1.4
red by 1.1
2543
#26
16.60.1
16.516.6
Auto5.4
Teleop9.8
End1.4