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Red121
364732.1
889116.8
35943.0
Blue73
513718.0
427032.5
97323.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100805015012173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
43.00.7
41.742.4
Auto16.0
Teleop21.7
End5.4
red by 10.5
32.50.0
32.732.6
Auto10.1
Teleop16.9
End5.5
Second
32.10.7
30.831.5
Auto13.1
Teleop17.7
End1.2
red by 8.7
973
#7
23.40.0
23.523.5
Auto4.9
Teleop17.2
End1.2
Third
8891
#18
16.80.7
15.516.2
Auto4.7
Teleop9.6
End2.5
blue by 1.2
5137
#25
18.00.0
18.218.2
Auto7.7
Teleop8.5
End1.8