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Red89
334117.7
210229.4
325526.9
Blue91
283915.5
699530.8
473832.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions798940601001201408991

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2102
#11
29.40.4
29.029.4
Auto10.8
Teleop16.6
End2.0
blue by 3.5
32.90.2
32.833.0
Auto11.5
Teleop18.4
End2.9
Second
26.90.4
26.526.9
Auto6.8
Teleop18.7
End1.5
blue by 3.9
6995
#10
30.80.2
30.730.9
Auto9.3
Teleop19.0
End2.5
Third
3341
#14
17.70.5
17.217.7
Auto7.1
Teleop9.2
End1.4
red by 2.2
2839
#33
15.50.2
15.415.6
Auto3.4
Teleop9.6
End2.5