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Red34
68146.4
801613.7
696220.0
Blue8
87934.1
90066.8
91115.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34381020305060348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6962
#18
20.01.4
10.49.0
Auto8.9
Teleop8.8
End2.3
red by 13.2
9006
#27
6.82.8
10.17.3
Auto3.6
Teleop3.1
End0.2
Second
8016
#12
13.71.4
10.99.5
Auto6.6
Teleop5.5
End1.6
red by 8.5
9111
#38
5.22.8
10.87.9
Auto0.8
Teleop3.0
End1.4
Third
6814
#33
6.41.4
10.08.6
Auto3.8
Teleop1.1
End1.5
red by 2.4
8793
#37
4.12.8
12.79.9
Auto1.8
Teleop2.2
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed