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Red24
72459.6
641818.7
145817.2
Blue11
91436.7
570011.8
71307.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3240102050602411

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6418
#25
18.70.7
11.410.7
Auto7.5
Teleop9.3
End1.9
red by 6.9
5700
#24
11.82.7
11.48.8
Auto6.3
Teleop5.1
End0.3
Second
1458
#20
17.20.7
9.79.0
Auto7.4
Teleop8.6
End1.2
red by 9.4
7130
#29
7.72.7
10.17.4
Auto2.7
Teleop3.9
End1.1
Third
7245
#32
9.60.7
9.18.4
Auto3.6
Teleop5.5
End0.5
red by 3.0
9143
#31
6.72.7
13.410.8
Auto1.7
Teleop4.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed